
I recently finished reading Joshua Cooper Ramo’s book,
The Age of the Unthinkable: Why the New Global Order Constantly Surprises Us and What To Do About It.
The theme running throughout is that of exactly what the title implies – we are living in a time when change occurs so swiftly, and often with minimal warning, that predicting what is to come is fairly impossible. He provides countless examples, including the fall of the Soviet Union to showcase how we are unable to view the dynamics occuring below the surface of situations, which inevitably predict its outcome.
Like many books out now, such as The Tipping Point, Freakonomics, and Nudge, (although I recognize these gentleman are discussing behavioral economics while Ramo’s topic is more foreign policy), Ramo suggests the importance of what at first may appear ’small’ acts actually have significant impact on world events.
He spoke a great deal about resilience, citing that countries can no longer predict and prepare for every violent act another country may perform. He references Hizbullah and their tactic of caring for the people in Lebanon, which, in turn, developed relationships that have now made them incredibly popular amongst the people, and therefore, very strong as a group.
He quotes C.S. Holling, 1973, “If we are dealing with a system affected by changes external to it, and continually confronted by the unexpected, the constancy of its behavior becomes less important than the persistence of relationships.” Though this was written in a paper entitled, ‘Resilience and Stability of Ecological System,’ This quote can be applied to other systems as well. I immediately thought of so many who are unemployed now, and the importance of relationships in that new job search.
Ramo is quick to point out the leaders of our world are not as ‘in control’ now as they once were. Especially, given rise to the Internet; individuals have the control. He is an advocate of open sourcing and distributing information to the masses. As a result, inviduals are empowered and are wanting and willing to take action.
Just as the Internet is redefining the term ’media’ and placing the power into the people’s hands, it is imperative that individuals recognize their individual power.
This past weekend Amazon.com removed rankings from a number of LGBT books, causing a huge outcry from individuals - twitter was littered with #amazonfail comments absolutely blasting the company. Amazon has given basically no response and has not engaged with the people.
I give this example 2-fold 1. it was individuals who chose to take action and 2. Amazon, I am sure, did not predict this situation, at all, but even as a corporation, they need to be engaged with their audience and developing those relationships in order to have the means to act, even when the unpredictable happens.
*I do apologize for the lack of paragraph breaks. My computer is being funny today.